CELIOS

Publications

Evidence with a purpose.

Reports, policy briefs, press releases, books, and public commentary in one searchable archive.

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Policy briefFiscal Justice4 Aug 2026

Memo on village cooperatives series

Memo Kopdes Series #2 – CELIOS Kopdes MP in Turmoil (Again): From “Divine Inspiration” to Public Policy, from (Claiming to Be) a Cooperative to Competing with MSMEs Key Findings: Kopdes MP Lacks Policy Urgency Indonesia already has 139,203 cooperatives, yet the government has chosen to establish 83,259 new Village Cooperatives (Kopdes MP) instead of strengthening existing ones. Fiscal Risks Shifted to the State Budget The program's financing could reach IDR 240 trillion (up to IDR 3 billio

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WhatsApp Image 2026-07-02 at 17.13.24
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Policy briefFiscal Justice3 Jul 2026

Policy note: multiple shocks to local food prices: rupiah depreciation and non-subsidized fuel price increases

Indonesia is facing multiple simultaneous shocks—including the depreciation of the rupiah, rising global oil prices, adjustments to non-subsidized fuel prices, and the expansion of the Free Nutritious Meals (MBG) program through SPPG—which together are likely to intensify pressure on food inflation. The depreciation of the rupiah is associated with higher food prices, particularly for import-sensitive commodities such as garlic, beef, and soybeans. The relationship typically begins to emerge ar

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WhatsApp Image 2026-05-30 at 14.20.28
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Policy briefFiscal Justice31 May 2026

Free Nutritious Meals Program (MBG), the rupiah exchange rate, and food price dynamics: is the expansion of SPPG associated with local price pressures?

A recent study by the Center of Economic and Law Studies (CELIOS) examines the relationship between the expansion of Nutrition Fulfillment Service Units (SPPG), fluctuations in the rupiah exchange rate, and food price dynamics across Indonesian districts and municipalities. Key findings include: Every additional 10 SPPG units is associated with an average increase of approximately 0.08% in overall food prices at the district/city level. Every additional 10 SPPG units is associated with a 0.12

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