The Center of Economic and Law Studies (CELIOS) has formally sent a letter to the United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD) and the UN Statistical Commission, requesting an independent review of Indonesia’s Q2 2025 economic growth data released by Statistics Indonesia (BPS). CELIOS has highlighted a discrepancy between the official figures and real economic indicators.
BPS reported growth of 5.12% (yoy), including manufacturing sector growth of 5.68%. However, CELIOS noted that Indonesia’s Manufacturing PMI was in contraction during the same period, while manufacturing’s share of GDP fell to 18.67% from 19.25% in Q1 2025—indicating that premature deindustrialization is continuing. In addition, mass layoffs and rising production costs are putting further pressure on labor-intensive industries.
“We are calling for transparency. There’s a mismatch between BPS figures and what’s happening on the ground,” said Bhima Yudhistira, Executive Director of CELIOS.
Media Wahyudi Askar, Director of Fiscal Policy at CELIOS, emphasized that credible data is essential for policymaking and public trust. “Any political interference in statistics violates the UN’s Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics. Inaccurate data could delay needed stimulus or social protections.”
Nailul Huda, Director of Digital Economics at CELIOS, questioned why Q2 growth outpaced Q1 despite the absence of major consumption drivers like Ramadan and Eid. “Household consumption growth was only 4.95% in Q1, and consumer confidence declined from March to June,” he noted.
CELIOS urges the UN to initiate a technical audit of BPS methods, advocate for peer review by independent experts, and push for stronger transparency standards, including compliance with SDDS Plus.
CELIOS has formally submitted a letter to the United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD) and the UN Statistical Commission, requesting an independent review of Indonesia’s Q2 2025 economic growth data released by Statistics Indonesia (BPS). CELIOS raises concerns over inconsistencies between official figures and real economic indicators.
BPS reported a 5.12% year-on-year growth, including a 5.68% growth in the manufacturing sector. However, CELIOS points out that Indonesia’s Manufacturing PMI was in contraction during the same period, and the manufacturing share of GDP declined to 18.67% from 19.25% in Q1 2025—signs of ongoing premature deindustrialization. Mass layoffs and rising costs have also hit labor-intensive industries.
“We are calling for transparency. There’s a mismatch between BPS figures and what’s happening on the ground,” said Bhima Yudhistira, Executive Director of CELIOS.
Media Wahyudi Askar, Director of Fiscal Policy at CELIOS, emphasized that credible data is essential for policymaking and public trust. “Any political interference in statistics violates the UN’s Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics. Inaccurate data could delay needed stimulus or social protections.”
Nailul Huda, Director of Digital Economics at CELIOS, questioned why Q2 growth outpaced Q1 despite the absence of major consumption drivers like Ramadan and Eid. “Household consumption growth was only 4.95% in Q1, and consumer confidence declined from March to June,” he noted.
CELIOS urges the UN to initiate a technical audit of BPS methods, advocate for peer review by independent experts, and push for stronger transparency standards, including compliance with SDDS Plus.
CELIOS Letter to UNSD Concern Regarding the Reliability and Accuracy of Indonesia’s GDP Data Download
CELIOS Letter to UN Statistical Commission Concern Regarding the Reliability and Accuracy of Indonesia’s GDP Data Download